December 17, 2021
Gates Polls Limited – The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) primary election in Ekiti state is now less than 40 days away, and Engr. Segun Oni maintains a strong lead in his bid to stage a comeback to the land of honour.
The latest Gates Polls statewide and online survey finds that, if Ekiti state governorship primary election was held today, 38% of Likely PDP Voters would vote for the Segun Oni, while 27% would vote for the Bisi Kolawole. 10.4% would vote for Biodun Olujimi. Just nine percent (9%) say they will vote other aspirants and more than 16% are not sure or unwilling to divulge information. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The poll was conducted between 8th and 11th December 2021, and it aims at measuring both the popularity of each candidate and the likely choice by the party members in the forthcoming Governorship primary election in Ekiti state.
Segun Oni has widen the gap in the forthcoming Governorship primary election in Ekiti state since November, when he led by a single digit 09-point margin (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Gates Polls weekly Ekiti Guber PDP Pre-Primary Poll is available in the link below:
More People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in Ekiti state 79 percent are more confident that the party’s eventual candidate from January 2022 primary election will emerge victorious from the general election in June – in November, 34 percent of polled party members of the People’s Democratic Party are not sure the eventual party candidate at the primaries will make it to Oke Ayoba in 2022 partly due to the deep division in the party and federal might.
In December, from the results of 300 randomly selected party executives, ex-officios and card carrying People’s Democratic Party (PDP) members across all the LGA in Ekiti state and interviewed via online, GSM and face-to-face: Engr. Segun Oni polled (38 percent); Chief Bisi Kolawole polled 27 percent; Senator Biodun Olujimi, (10.4 percent); and the remaining aspirants cumulatively polled (8 percent) while more than 16% percent of the party members are undecided or simply refused to divulge their choice of candidate.
The poll also revealed that while 96 percent of respondents claimed to have updated their membership registration. However, a significant proportion of respondents (91 percent) favoured open direct primary but 87 percent were certain the party will adopt the delegate mode and were certain they would vote during the primary election.
Results from the poll indicated that Engr. Segun Oni continues to enjoy a dominant support from the North senatorial district of the state, Ekiti North (66 percent), Ekiti Central (23 percent) and Ekiti South (11 percent); Chief Bisi Kolawole support base widens in Ekiti Central (69 percent); Ekiti North (19 percent), Ekiti South (12 percent); senatorial districts. While Senator Biodun Olujimi gets her major following from Ekiti South (44 percent ).
Similarly, the poll highlighted Oni’s support across all age categories ranging the working-class of ages 36 to 60 years (57 percent), the senior citizens aged 61 and above (20 percent) and the youths aged between 18 and 35 years (23 percent); compared to Kolawole who averaged 46 percent, 15 percent, 39 percent for youths, working-class and senior citizens respectively. And Olujimi who averaged 19 percent, 54 percent, and 27 percent age categories respectively.
Slightly more female respondents than men have volunteered more information on there preferred aspirants in the forthcoming Governorship primary election in Ekiti State.
Respondents female were open with information by a margin of 57% to 43%, but majorities of older voters – 43% of those ages 40-64 and 56% of those 65 and older – would not.
The race for the Governorship ticket in Ekiti state is still largely three horse and 16% percent of the party members who are undecided or simply refused to divulge their choice of candidate leaves the race a close one.
About Gates Polls and Poll Methodology
Gates Polls Limited is an indigenous media, opinion polls and survey company which specializes in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Weekly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Gates Polls web site. If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a weekly update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
Some information, including the Gates Polls Monthly Ministerial Rating and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for as low as N1200 a month or N10,000 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to weekly updates, upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.
To learn more about our methodology, click here.
The multi prong survey of People’s Democratic Party (PDP) members in Ekiti state was conducted by Gates Polls from December 8th to 10th, 2021. It involved online, GSM and face-to-face methods from a state-wide sample in Ekiti State. 300 randomly selected PDP party members aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state, were interviewed. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Of the 300 completed interviews, 55 percent were male and 45 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Ekiti North (30 percent), Ekiti Central (38 percent), and Ekiti South (32 percent). Also, 30 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 59 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 11 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 5 respondents are: Self-employed (20 percent), Civil servants (9 percent), professional workers (8 percent), Farmers/Agric workers (37 percent); Students (20 percent) and others (6 percent).
Field work for all Gates Polls surveys is conducted by Gates Polls Academy, a subsidiary of Gates Polls Limited. See methodology.
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December 17th, 2021
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